Burglary and aggravated home invasion in Victoria: patterns, hotspots and prevention

Burglary is one of the most commonly experienced serious offences in Victoria, and it is also one of the most misunderstood in everyday conversation. People use ‘burglary’, ‘break-in’, ‘robbery’ and ‘home invasion’ interchangeably. The criminal law does not. The distinctions matter, both for how an offence is charged and for how seriously it is treated at sentence.
This is our plain-English guide to how the offences are defined under the Crimes Act 1958 (Vic), what the Crime Statistics Agency data is actually showing, and what home-security measures are worth the money.
Burglary, aggravated burglary and home invasion
Three offences cover the territory most readers think of as a break-in.
Burglary (section 76 of the Crimes Act 1958) is committed when a person enters a building, or part of a building, as a trespasser with intent to steal, assault someone in the building, or damage property. The maximum penalty is 10 years’ imprisonment. The offence is complete on entry with the relevant intent — nothing actually has to be stolen, and no one has to be home.
Aggravated burglary (section 77) is the more serious form. It applies where the offender at the time of the burglary either has a firearm, imitation firearm, offensive weapon, explosive or imitation explosive with them, or where there is a person present in the building and the offender knows or is reckless as to that. The maximum penalty is 25 years’ imprisonment. Aggravated burglary is the charge most often laid where someone breaks in while the residents are at home.
Home invasion as a standalone offence does not exist in those exact terms in Victorian law. The Victorian framework deals with that conduct through aggravated burglary, armed robbery, false imprisonment, threats to kill and recklessly causing serious injury, depending on what actually happened. New South Wales and Queensland have used the ‘home invasion’ label more directly. In Victoria, the more serious sentencing outcomes that the public associate with home invasions are achieved through the aggravated burglary charge and through statutory minimum sentences that apply to certain offences when committed in occupied homes.
What the Crime Statistics Agency is showing
Residential burglary in Victoria fell sharply during the pandemic, when so many homes were occupied during the day that the opportunity simply collapsed. It has since trended upward. The Crime Statistics Agency’s most recent quarterly releases show recorded residential burglary running well above the pandemic-era trough, though still below the peaks of the late 2010s.
The pattern is not uniform across Victoria. Outer-suburban growth corridors in Melbourne’s north and west, and several regional centres in the Loddon and Goulburn regions, have recorded higher rates per 100,000 than inner-Melbourne LGAs. That is partly a function of housing stock — detached homes with attached garages and side access are more vulnerable than apartments — and partly a function of policing density.
Aggravated burglary trends move differently from base burglary. The Crime Statistics Agency reports them separately, and they are more volatile because the absolute numbers are smaller.
What gets stolen
The list has shifted in the past few years. Cash and small high-value electronics still feature, but the most reported single change is the rise in vehicles stolen from inside garages using keys taken from the home. The pattern is consistent enough that Victoria Police has issued public warnings about it. An offender enters the home through an unlocked door or window, locates the keys to a vehicle parked in the garage, and drives the vehicle out. The owners often discover the burglary only when they go to use the car the next morning.
Other commonly stolen items include:
- Laptops, tablets and gaming consoles.
- Designer handbags, watches and jewellery.
- Power tools, particularly cordless drill sets and battery packs — these have a robust resale market.
- Cash, gift cards and unused stamps.
- Identification documents, which are sometimes the actual target where the offender is engaged in identity-takeover fraud.
The Australian Bureau of Statistics victimisation surveys consistently show that around half of household burglaries are not reported to police. The reasons given are usually that the loss was small, that the household believed police would not be able to recover the property, or that the household did not want the disruption of a formal investigation. That under-reporting matters for how you read the CSA series — the recorded numbers are a floor, not a ceiling.
Home security that actually helps
Most burglaries in Victoria are opportunistic. The offender is looking for a quick entry, a quick search of the obvious locations and a quick exit. The security measures that work best are the ones that increase the time and the noise required to do that. Our team has reviewed the published guidance from Victoria Police, from the Australian Institute of Criminology and from Neighbourhood Watch Victoria, and the consistent recommendations are these:
- Visible cameras at the front and rear of the property. Modern Wi-Fi doorbell cameras are cheap and effective — the deterrent effect comes from being visible, not from the resolution.
- Sensor lighting on access paths. Side gates and rear yards in particular.
- Deadbolts on all external doors, properly installed into a reinforced strike plate. The weak point in most home doors is not the lock itself but the timber the strike plate is screwed into.
- Window locks on all ground-floor windows, and laminated glass on the most accessible windows where you are renovating anyway.
- Vehicle key storage away from the front of the house. Do not leave car keys in a bowl by the front door, on a hook in the entryway, or on the kitchen bench visible from the driveway. A small lock-box in a back room is enough.
- A visible alarm system, monitored or unmonitored. Even a sticker advertising one will deter some offenders.
- Trim hedges and large shrubs around windows so that the front of the house is visible from the street.
The single biggest preventable factor across all three offences is the unlocked door. The CSA data on point-of-entry consistently shows that a meaningful share of residential burglaries involve no forced entry at all — the offender walked in through an unlocked back door or an unsecured window.
Neighbourhood Watch and reporting culture
Neighbourhood Watch Victoria has been operating since 1983 and remains active across the state through local groups affiliated with their nearest police station. It is not a vigilante program. Its function is community awareness, advice on basic crime prevention, and the cultivation of a reporting culture in which residents notice and report suspicious activity in their street.
The evidence base on Neighbourhood Watch as a standalone intervention is mixed. What is clearer is that streets with engaged residents who know each other and report unusual activity to police tend to record fewer property offences, and that engagement is what Neighbourhood Watch and similar programs help build.
If your home is broken into
Call 000 if the offender may still be on the property or nearby, and stay outside. Do not enter the house alone. If the offender is gone and there is no immediate danger, call 131 444 for the Police Assistance Line, or report online via the Victoria Police website. Do not touch surfaces or items inside until a member has attended, even if you are certain the offender is gone — forensic recovery of fingerprints and trace DNA is meaningfully better when the scene is preserved.
Notify your insurer as early as practical. Cancel and replace any taken cards or identity documents, and consider an IDCARE consultation if identification documents were taken.
To report a burglary that has already occurred and where there is no immediate threat, call 131 444. To report information about a burglary or stolen property confidentially, call Crime Stoppers on 1800 333 000. If your identity has been compromised, contact IDCARE on 1800 595 160. In an emergency, always call 000.




